Featured market↘Will the Fed cut rates at its next meeting?View probability, evidence and resolution Market probability moved +2 points today.YES odds now1.56x$10 pays $15.6064% probabilityYes · 64%$10 → $15.601.56xNo · 36%$10 → $27.802.78x
Global rates 28d↘Will the Fed cut rates at its next meeting?Open market details Yes64% chance1.56x$10 → $15.60No36% chance2.78x$10 → $27.80 $2.84m12.8k participants
Football · Live 74′90′Will the home side win tonight's headline match?Open market details Yes58% chance1.72x$10 → $17.20No42% chance2.38x$10 → $23.80 $896k8.4k participants
Artificial intelligence 12dAIWill a new frontier AI model launch this month?Open market details Yes72% chance1.39x$10 → $13.90No28% chance3.57x$10 → $35.70 $1.31m6.2k participants
Election watch 41d◎Will voter turnout finish above the previous election?Open market details Yes47% chance2.13x$10 → $21.30No53% chance1.89x$10 → $18.90 $760k5.9k participants
Digital assets 2d₿Will Bitcoin set a new monthly high before Friday?Open market details Yes55% chance1.82x$10 → $18.20No45% chance2.22x$10 → $22.20 $3.62m18.3k participants
Public policy 16dPWill the new budget proposal pass before the recess?Open market details Yes43% chance2.33x$10 → $23.30No57% chance1.75x$10 → $17.50 $522k4.1k participants
Baseball 6h⚾Will the Lions win their next home game?Open market details Yes51% chance1.96x$10 → $19.60No49% chance2.04x$10 → $20.40 $438k3.8k participants
Climate 24d°Will this month finish as the hottest on record?Open market details Yes69% chance1.45x$10 → $14.50No31% chance3.23x$10 → $32.30 $643k7.7k participants
Box office 5d▶Will the weekend's top film open above $100m?Open market details Yes39% chance2.56x$10 → $25.60No61% chance1.64x$10 → $16.40 $428k5.1k participants
Ice hockey 3h🏒Will the home team score first in tonight's game?Open market details Yes53% chance1.89x$10 → $18.90No47% chance2.13x$10 → $21.30 $317k2.9k participants
Mobility 31dMWill city rail usage beat last month's total?Open market details Yes61% chance1.64x$10 → $16.40No39% chance2.56x$10 → $25.60 $204k1.8k participants
Music 4d♪Will the new release debut at number one?Open market details Yes67% chance1.49x$10 → $14.90No33% chance3.03x$10 → $30.30 $581k9.2k participants